Singularity Clock v1.4.0 Projects AGI in 2027 and ASI in 2031
Start here
The Singularity Clock v1.4.0, a public measurement instrument, projects AGI around April 2027, the Singularity around December 2029 and ASI around December 2031, with all three dates holding flat since November. The project tracks 14 signals, including METR task horizon at 11.4 hours (up 38% quarter over quarter), SWE-bench Verified at 88.2%, Humanity's Last Exam at 38.9% and ARC-AGI-2 at 62.4%. The project reports a capability-to-safety velocity ratio of 1.77× and publishes its methodology and code on GitHub under CC-BY-4.0. These are the project's own projections and measurements, not independently verified outcomes.
Generated from reports · updated 11 h ago
Report timeline
Follow the reports to see the event from different sides.
- Hacker News · AIThe Singularity Clock v1.4.0 Tracks AGI, Singularity and ASI Timelines
The Singularity Clock v1.4.0 is a public measurement instrument that projects AGI around April 2027, the Singularity around December 2029 and ASI around December 2031, all holding flat since November. Its 14 signals include METR task horizon at 11.4 hours (+38% QoQ), SWE-bench Verified at 88.2%, Humanity's Last Exam at 38.9% and ARC-AGI-2 at 62.4%. The project reports a capability-to-safety velocity ratio of 1.77× and publishes its methodology and code on GitHub under CC-BY-4.0.
Heat for this event
Not enough continuous observations yet to draw a trend.