Hacker News · AI·· 12 h agoAI score30
The Singularity Clock v1.4.0 Tracks AGI, Singularity and ASI Timelines
The Singularity Clock
AI summary
The Singularity Clock v1.4.0 is a public measurement instrument that projects AGI around April 2027, the Singularity around December 2029 and ASI around December 2031, all holding flat since November. Its 14 signals include METR task horizon at 11.4 hours (+38% QoQ), SWE-bench Verified at 88.2%, Humanity's Last Exam at 38.9% and ARC-AGI-2 at 62.4%. The project reports a capability-to-safety velocity ratio of 1.77× and publishes its methodology and code on GitHub under CC-BY-4.0.
Source:Hacker News · AI · singularityclock.ai