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Essay: AI safety debate confuses alignment with epistemics

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An essay argues that AI safety debates conflate alignment with basic epistemics, using the 1983 Petrov nuclear false-alarm incident to show that the Soviet satellite was not misaligned but simply lacked a world model. It revives Ulf Grenander's Pattern Theory, which treats pattern analysis and pattern synthesis as sharing one probabilistic model, and contrasts it with the backpropagation approach that displaced it.

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November 15
  1. Hacker News · AI
    Preventing an AI catastrophe: a brief intro to analysis by synthesis

    An essay argues that AI safety debates conflate alignment with basic epistemics, using the 1983 Petrov nuclear false-alarm incident to show that the Soviet satellite was not misaligned but simply lacked a world model. It revives Ulf Grenander's Pattern Theory, which treats pattern analysis and pattern synthesis as sharing one probabilistic model, and contrasts it with the backpropagation approach that displaced it.

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