A big-tent or small-tent AI safety movement?

The essay argues that AI existential-risk warnings may be sincere but wrong, a third possibility it says is rarely considered alongside the "real and imminent" and "insincere psyop" narratives. It contends that policymakers drastically underinvest in resilience against catastrophic and systemic risks, citing pandemic preparedness and cybersecurity as evidence, and that AI mainly amplifies existing risks rather than creating a distinct alignment problem.